Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:42:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
7E 0x7e3a…130e sports 120 markets active 0h ago coverage 42d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$906 (+3%) realized +$906 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +57% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +21% what you keep after slip
Net edge+21%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate51%61W / 59L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown76%max
Avg bet$258per market
Trades / day22.7pace
Fees−$1,135est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days−$48
30 days+$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$458
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+42.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +1.8% -7.9% 67% 67% -4.3%
≤30d 72 +97.1% +78.3% 53% 40% -7.0%
≤90d 120 +57.4% +42.4% 51% 38% -5.1%
all 120 +57.4% +42.4% 51% 38% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.4% 38% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here +28.8% 29% -14.2%
15% +16.3% 26% -22.5%
20% +4.9% 20% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 48% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +57% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +45% → late +69% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$66 vs −$62 · ×1.07 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$906
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses61 / 59
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$1,135
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage42d
Avg bet$258
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 120 Trades
no open positions (53 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $284 +$37 +13%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $101 −$28 -27%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $91 +$18 +19%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $456 −$48 -10%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $62 −$3 -5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $317 −$6 -2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $270 +$30 +11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $108 +$18 +16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$10 -79%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $464 −$53 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $840 +$36 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $181 +$218 +120%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 -16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,423 −$23 -2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $561 −$32 -6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $24 +$60 +250%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $485 −$245 -50%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $240 −$29 -12%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $420 +$62 +15%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $720 −$5 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $24 +$24 +100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$10 +200%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $72 −$72 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $490 −$70 -14%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $20 $0 -2%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $387 +$23 +6%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $372 +$15 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $56 +$51 +90%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$230 +1150%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $295 −$290 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $190 −$190 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $825 +$27 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $30 +$15 +50%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $21 +$19 +90%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $420 +$10 +2%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $50 +$30 +60%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $30 +$10 +33%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $798 +$78 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $286 −$20 -7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $380 −$140 -37%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $250 +$200 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 20¢ $195 20m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $140 20m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 11¢ $62 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 11¢ $13 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $7 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $44 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $144 23m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 23¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 22¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 7¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 7¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 7¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 7¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 7¢ $56 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 10¢ $98 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 4¢ $39 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 3¢ $30 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 16¢ $46 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 16¢ $8 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 16¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 16¢ $6 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $61 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 2¢ $24 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 4¢ $48 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 33¢ $396 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $396 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $3 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $9 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 1¢ $12 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 20¢ $57 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 975 history records