trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 75% | 38% | -10.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +12.3% | +1.6% | 78% | 33% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +11.1% | +0.5% | 80% | 30% | -9.1% |
| all | 12 | +9.4% | -1.0% | 83% | 25% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.0% | 25% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -10.5% | 8% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -19.2% | 8% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -27.1% | 8% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $124 | $122 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $61 | $61 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 16 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $56 | +$8 | +14% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $110 | −$13 | -12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$2 | +100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 22 | $218 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will BNB dip to $400 in February? | May 07 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | Feb 26 | $3 | $0 | +1% |