Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:23:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e2a…12c2 crypto 1133 markets active 1d ago coverage 62d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$316 (-1%) realized −$316 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate91%1035W / 98L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day37.9pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$288
14 days−$288
30 days−$288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% −$503
other 16% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -5.8% -14.8% 25% 13% -15.2%
≤30d 71 -5.8% -14.8% 25% 13% -15.2%
≤90d 1133 -1.8% -11.2% 91% 2% -11.3%
all 1133 -1.8% -11.2% 91% 2% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 2% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 1% -19.7%
15% -27.4% 1% -27.5%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$316
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1035 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1133 / 1133
History coverage62d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day37.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1133 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $82 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $27 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $102 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $78 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $158 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $57 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $96 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 19 $108 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $316 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $114 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $126 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $39 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $93 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $127 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $36 −$15 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$13 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $56 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $69 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $61 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $128 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $60 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $106 −$46 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $32 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $73 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$15 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $97 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $145 −$45 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $154 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $123 −$23 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records