Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T18:55:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
7E 0x7e1f…c704 crypto 687 markets active 2h ago coverage 82d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$6,614 (+7%) realized +$6,614 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%360W / 327L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$136per market
Trades / day19.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$557
7 days+$1,072
14 days−$119
30 days−$1,396
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,142
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -2.8% -12.1% 50% 50% +4.6%
≤30d 130 +0.2% -9.4% 52% 52% -16.0%
≤90d 687 +2.4% -7.4% 52% 52% -5.5%
all 687 +2.4% -7.4% 52% 52% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 52% -5.5%
10% -16.2% 52% -14.6%
15% -24.3% 52% -22.8%
20% -31.8% 52% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$134 vs −$134 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

82d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,614
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses360 / 327
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)687 / 687
History coverage82d
Avg bet$136
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 687 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $47 +$43 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $128 −$128 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $23 +$22 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $182 +$171 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $269 +$264 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $275 −$275 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $285 +$265 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $275 +$264 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 22 $53 +$50 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 22 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $125 +$117 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $131 +$122 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 22 $225 −$225 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 21 $269 +$266 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 21 $25 +$23 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 21 $277 −$277 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $149 −$149 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $177 −$177 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $45 +$42 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $280 −$280 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $281 +$262 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $443 +$414 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $828 +$785 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $226 −$226 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$23 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $565 +$530 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $255 −$255 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $259 −$259 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $88 +$82 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $264 −$264 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$34 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$76 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $102 +$98 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $91 +$87 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $113 +$105 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $74 +$69 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $271 −$271 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $47 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $45 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $83 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $167 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $285 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $192 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $77 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $19 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $275 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $30 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $225 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $114 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $131 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2894 history records