Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:48:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e19…7562
crypto · 1054 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$384 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$384 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$384
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses486 / 568
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1054 / 1054
History coverage22d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day136.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1054 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$246
14 days−$271
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 10¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 35¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 12¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 29¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 19¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 30¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 14¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 34¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 10¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 34¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 517 -16.3% -24.2% 32% 24% -19.1%
≤30d 1054 -8.7% -17.4% 46% 31% -14.5%
≤90d 1054 -8.7% -17.4% 46% 31% -14.5%
all 1054 -8.7% -17.4% 46% 31% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 31% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 21% -22.7%
15% -32.5% 10% -30.1%
20% -39.2% 5% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records