Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:59:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e14…6b60
crypto · 1782 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,046 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,035 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$193
Realized−$9,035
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1603 / 600
Open positions5
Markets (closed)2203 / 1782
History coverage5d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day406.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 5 History 2203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,953
7 days−$9,035
14 days−$9,035
30 days−$9,035
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 91¢ 98¢ $50 $54 +$4 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 93¢ 98¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+5%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 94¢ 78¢ $50 $41 −$9 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 90¢ 72¢ $50 $40 −$10 (-20%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 95¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 63¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 78¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 68¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 42¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 11¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 57¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 35¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 76¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 71¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 72¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 18¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 46¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 17¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 28¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 23¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 42¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 11¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 72¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% +$257
other 22% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $3 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 12m
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 22m
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 33m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 38m
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 1h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $27 1h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-27.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2203 -20.1% -27.7% 73% 10% -34.8%
≤30d 2203 -20.1% -27.7% 73% 10% -34.8%
≤90d 2203 -20.1% -27.7% 73% 10% -34.8%
all 2203 -20.1% -27.7% 73% 10% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover406.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.7% 10% -34.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.7% 0% -41.1%
15% -41.0% 0% -46.8%
20% -46.8% 0% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $192.91 · official $192.91 (match) · 3500 history records