Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e11…557f
crypto · 1224 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$409 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$463 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,007
Realized−$463
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses685 / 518
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions21
Markets (closed)1203 / 1224
History coverage86d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day23.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 21 History 1203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$101
14 days−$75
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $451 $444 −$7 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $397 $403 +$6 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $251 $249 −$2 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $223 $241 +$18 (+8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $249 $221 −$28 (-11%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $134 $134 −$1 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $104 $103 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $69 $69 +$1 (+1%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $26 $25 −$1 (-3%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 60¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Yes 44¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $64 −$63 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$27 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$25 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +116%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +110%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $41 −$36 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $20 −$15 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 10 $35 −$30 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $38 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$18 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$13 +124%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$5 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$422
other 23% −$62
sports 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $26 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $11 27h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $13 27h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $59 27h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $55 29h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $15 29h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $107 29h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $136 29h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $227 29h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $254 29h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $256 29h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $400 30h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $458 30h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 45h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 47h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 47h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 47h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 47h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $20 2d
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 2d
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 2d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 44¢ $5 2d
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -1.9% -11.3% 44% 44% -27.5%
≤30d 78 +2.7% -7.1% 50% 44% -20.8%
≤90d 1203 -1.7% -11.1% 57% 56% -15.4%
all 1203 -1.7% -11.1% 57% 56% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 56% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 55% -23.5%
15% -27.3% 51% -30.9%
20% -34.5% 34% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,006.64 · official $2,006.64 (match) · 3221 history records