Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:55:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e0b…0a9f
other · 20 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$29 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$220
Realized+$40
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses4 / 13
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions3
Markets (closed)17 / 20
History coverage100d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 3 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$116
14 days+$116
30 days+$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $100 $88 −$12 (-12%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-3%)
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Leeds United FC? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? Yes 39¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament? Yes 60¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Leeds United FC? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Carlos Alcaraz 55¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Carlos Alcaraz 32¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $89 −$7 -8%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $88 +$124 +141%
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) Apr 26 $28 −$10 -34%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $13 −$5 -37%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $50 −$6 -13%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $16 +$13 +84%
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champion Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 13 $29 −$14 -49%
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Leeds United FC? Apr 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Leeds United FC? Apr 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $27 +$51 +191%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $15 +$13 +86%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Apr 12 $37 −$36 -98%
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Mar 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5 Mar 14 $10 −$6 -59%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tourna Mar 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? Mar 05 $28 −$28 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% +$112
sports 24% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 15¢ $32 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 37¢ $82 3d
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 39¢ $89 5d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $103 5d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $103 5d
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 41¢ $88 12d
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) SELL FC Internazionale Milano 31¢ $18 48d
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) BUY FC Internazionale Milano 47¢ $28 48d
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes $8 48d
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $13 49d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes $44 55d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? SELL Yes 97¢ $29 55d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? BUY Yes 52¢ $16 55d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $50 56d
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champion BUY Yes $1 61d
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes $15 61d
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Leeds United FC? BUY Yes $2 61d
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Leeds United FC? BUY Yes $2 61d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $78 62d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 62d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 42¢ $22 62d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $28 62d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $15 62d
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes $15 62d
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner BUY Carlos Alcaraz 24¢ $20 62d
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner BUY Carlos Alcaraz 50¢ $17 62d
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes $14 66d
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Carlos Alcaraz 55¢ $4 91d
Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5 SELL Under 22¢ $4 91d
Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 54¢ $10 91d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-33.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +66.6% +50.8% 50% 50% +50.0%
≤30d 2 +66.6% +50.8% 50% 50% +50.0%
≤90d 13 -6.6% -15.5% 31% 31% +18.5%
all 17 -26.1% -33.2% 24% 24% -1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.2% 24% -1.7%
10% -39.6% 24% -11.1%
15% -45.4% 24% -19.7%
20% -50.8% 24% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $220.33 · official $220.33 (match) · 39 history records