Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:59:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e03…fd0d
crypto · 2152 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$628 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$628 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$628
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses1063 / 743
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1806 / 2152
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day89.2
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$10
14 days+$132
30 days+$628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 74¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 40¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$841
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 386 +8.8% -1.6% 53% 53% -10.8%
≤30d 1806 +16.4% +5.3% 59% 58% +4.9%
≤90d 1806 +16.4% +5.3% 59% 58% +4.9%
all 1806 +16.4% +5.3% 59% 58% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.3% 58% +4.9%
10% ← realistic here -4.8% 58% -5.1%
15% -14.0% 56% -14.3%
20% -22.4% 55% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records