Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7df2…e7b0
crypto · 300 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,085 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,073 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$1,073
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses128 / 168
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)296 / 300
History coverage198d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$198
14 days−$198
30 days−$198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 38¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 24¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-58%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$17 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$16 +107%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$28 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$20 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$17 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$11 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$25 -49%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +165%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$21 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$8 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $47 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 14 $54 −$52 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 14 $34 −$33 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 14 $42 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Apr 14 $65 +$14 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$26 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Apr 14 $59 −$28 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 13 $11 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 13 $37 +$15 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Apr 13 $25 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Apr 12 $76 +$53 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 12 $40 +$46 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Apr 12 $30 +$13 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Apr 12 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Apr 12 $52 −$14 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Apr 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7AM ET Apr 12 $148 +$38 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 11 $44 +$11 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 11 $16 −$6 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$1,049
sports 3% +$7
other 1% −$36
politics 0% −$6
world 0% +$2
tech 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $10 7h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $5 7h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $20 7h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $15 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 25h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $10 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 26h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $10 27h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $32 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $26 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -29.9% -36.6% 33% 27% -42.0%
≤30d 30 -29.9% -36.6% 33% 27% -42.0%
≤90d 96 -10.8% -19.3% 45% 40% -15.2%
all 296 -15.6% -23.7% 43% 29% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.7% 29% -16.3%
10% -31.0% 23% -24.3%
15% -37.6% 18% -31.6%
20% -43.8% 12% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.93 · official $27.93 (match) · 1944 history records