trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +33.2% | +20.5% | 100% | 100% | +19.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +39.6% | +26.3% | 70% | 60% | -45.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +26.6% | +14.5% | 76% | 47% | -31.4% |
| all | 20 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 70% | 45% | -24.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.9% | 45% | -24.8% |
| 10% | +3.0% | 40% | -32.0% |
| 15% | -6.9% | 35% | -38.6% |
| 20% | -16.1% | 30% | -44.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 60¢ | 50¢ | $2,870 | $2,432 | −$438 (-15%) |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Yes | 25¢ | 54¢ | $10 | $21 | +$11 (+114%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Sean OMalley | 85¢ | 78¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $75 | $0 | −$74 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai | Jun 15 | $13 | +$3 | +23% |
| UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P | Jun 06 | $20 | +$2 | +9% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai | May 17 | $404 | −$398 | -98% |
| UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car | May 17 | $36 | +$114 | +318% |
| UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy | May 17 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli | May 17 | $15 | +$20 | +128% |
| UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) | May 16 | $51 | −$26 | -50% |
| UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bant | May 16 | $51 | +$39 | +77% |
| UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, | May 02 | $22 | +$14 | +62% |
| UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweig | Apr 26 | $36 | −$36 | -99% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Pre | Apr 26 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, | Apr 26 | $34 | +$2 | +5% |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main | Apr 26 | $20 | +$14 | +71% |
| UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prel | Apr 26 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 18 | $199 | +$14 | +7% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the | Mar 14 | $114 | −$18 | -16% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Mar 11 | $50 | +$41 | +82% |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | Mar 05 | $100 | $0 | -0% |