Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7ddf…2766
crypto · 360 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,988 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,462 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$4,462
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses55 / 304
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$310
Open positions1
Markets (closed)359 / 360
History coverage61d
Avg bet$241
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 359 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$620
7 days−$333
14 days−$3,025
30 days−$4,116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $243 $2 −$240 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 50¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Tundra Esports 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? No 50¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3,707 +$77 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $607 −$76 -13%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $279 −$45 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $174 −$50 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $189 −$95 -50%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4,466 +$809 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $273 −$87 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $110 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1,548 −$119 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 09 $200 +$47 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $170 −$35 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $191 −$46 -24%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $494 −$128 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $143 −$22 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9AM ET Jun 07 $158 −$29 -18%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $208 −$54 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8PM ET Jun 07 $121 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 06 $248 −$74 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET Jun 06 $107 −$3 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Jun 06 $170 −$33 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $212 −$56 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 06 $200 −$50 -25%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3,246 −$158 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $297 −$99 -33%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $100 $0 +0%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $162 −$31 -19%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $3,140 −$194 -6%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 05 $130 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET Jun 05 $171 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET Jun 05 $259 −$19 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Jun 05 $159 −$3 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$2,005
crypto 39% −$2,759
other 14% +$302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $60 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $45 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $9 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $45 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $9 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $9 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $9 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $45 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $8 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $5 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 38m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $131 39m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $8 40m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $15 40m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $112 40m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $179 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $7 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $18 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $41 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $13 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 42m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $13 42m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 42m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 60¢ $10 45m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $14 52m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $11 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -23.6% -30.9% 9% 5% -9.4%
≤30d 242 -9.5% -18.2% 12% 9% -16.6%
≤90d 359 -6.8% -15.7% 15% 9% -14.8%
all 359 -6.8% -15.7% 15% 9% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 9% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 5% -22.9%
15% -31.1% 3% -30.4%
20% -37.9% 1% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.32 · official $2.43 · 3500 history records