trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 6 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 83% | 0% | -82.0% |
| all | 12 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 83% | 0% | -70.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.9% | 0% | -70.7% |
| 10% | -31.2% | 0% | -73.5% |
| 15% | -37.9% | 0% | -76.1% |
| 20% | -44.0% | 0% | -78.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $323 | $321 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $276 | −$270 | -98% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Apr 18 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Apr 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi | Feb 03 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $210 in January? | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January? | Feb 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k? | Jan 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28? | Jan 06 | $12 | $0 | +1% |