Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:07:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7dd4…38b5
crypto · 1998 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$611 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$611 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$611
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses611 / 763
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1374 / 1998
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day173.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1374 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days+$211
14 days+$574
30 days+$611
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$768
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+35.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 594 +36.5% +23.5% 45% 39% +6.6%
≤30d 1374 +50.1% +35.8% 44% 38% +10.7%
≤90d 1374 +50.1% +35.8% 44% 38% +10.7%
all 1374 +50.1% +35.8% 44% 38% +10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.8% 38% +10.7%
10% ← realistic here +22.8% 37% +0.1%
15% +10.9% 37% -9.6%
20% +0.1% 36% -18.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records