Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7dd1…1273
other · 1135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$299 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$298 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$298
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses687 / 499
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1186 / 1135
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day605.1
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 2 History 1186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$885
7 days+$298
14 days+$298
30 days+$298
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+134%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+138%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 71¢ 79¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 64¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+233%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+194%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +233%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +67%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +213%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +317%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% +$1,397
other 48% +$1,018
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1186 +5.8% -4.3% 58% 57% -6.1%
≤30d 1186 +5.8% -4.3% 58% 57% -6.1%
≤90d 1186 +5.8% -4.3% 58% 57% -6.1%
all 1186 +5.8% -4.3% 58% 57% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover605.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 57% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 50% -15.1%
15% -21.8% 39% -23.3%
20% -29.5% 31% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.32 · official $23.36 · 3500 history records