Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7dc9…8fbf
sports · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$17 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 50¢ 50¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $9 +$9 +109%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $56 +$44 +79%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $29 +$29 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 50¢ $26 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $9 19h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 51¢ $29 26h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 57¢ $38 27h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 55¢ $56 28h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 40¢ $15 46h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $17 47h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 49¢ $29 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -15.7% -23.8% 43% 43% -17.4%
≤30d 7 -15.7% -23.8% 43% 43% -17.4%
≤90d 7 -15.7% -23.8% 43% 43% -17.4%
all 7 -15.7% -23.8% 43% 43% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.8% 43% -17.4%
10% -31.1% 43% -25.3%
15% -37.7% 43% -32.5%
20% -43.8% 43% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.63 · official $25.63 (match) · 15 history records