Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T18:04:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7D 0x7dc4…13dc crypto 36 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$19 (-8%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate33%12W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day69.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-31.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 31% -19.1%
≤30d 36 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 31% -19.1%
≤90d 36 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 31% -19.1%
all 36 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 31% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.0% 31% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -37.6% 19% -26.8%
15% -43.6% 19% -33.9%
20% -49.2% 17% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 58% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -47% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$4 · ×1.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses12 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$19 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$9 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$10 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$4 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$24 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 85 history records