Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T22:51:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7D 0x7da3…742e crypto 272 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$17 (+0%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate88%240W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day36.4pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$109
7 days−$108
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$313
other 14% −$348
weather 1% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 +3.5% -6.4% 87% 55% -11.2%
≤30d 272 +4.9% -5.1% 88% 55% -10.9%
≤90d 272 +4.9% -5.1% 88% 55% -10.9%
all 272 +4.9% -5.1% 88% 55% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 55% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 19% -19.5%
15% -22.5% 9% -27.2%
20% -30.1% 5% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$31 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses240 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)272 / 272
History coverage8d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day36.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 272 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$50 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $4 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $29 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$14 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$4 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23? Jun 23 $65 −$58 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$5 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$2 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$10 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$9 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $42 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$6 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$13 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$16 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$5 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$10 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $52 +$61 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$2 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 22 $13 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$10 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$7 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 22 $38 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $51 +$31 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $29 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23? SELL Yes 7¢ $7 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 8h
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23? BUY Yes 59¢ $65 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 21h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 21h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 549 history records