Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:40:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d9e…9b4e
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$50 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses45 / 78
Open positions0
Markets (closed)123 / 123
History coverage151d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukis Southern Illinois Salukis 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 16? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Omega Esports vs TNC Pro Team (BO3) - MPL Ph Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Mar 28 $1 $0 -2%
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig? Mar 28 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Mar 23 $26 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Mar 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Mar 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Mar 23 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Mar 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Mar 22 $6 −$6 -98%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 22 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29) Mar 22 $1 $0 -4%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $10 +$4 +37%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Mar 22 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -99%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $56 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Mar 22 $16 +$40 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Mar 22 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Mar 22 $32 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Mar 22 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Mar 22 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Mar 22 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Mar 22 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Mar 22 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Feb 23 $39 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Feb 23 $10 +$19 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Feb 23 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Feb 23 $20 +$17 +82%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs Feb 23 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Feb 23 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Feb 23 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Feb 23 $1 +$3 +262%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Feb 23 $5 +$2 +43%
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Feb 23 $8 +$9 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Feb 23 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Feb 23 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Feb 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Feb 23 $12 +$13 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Feb 23 $5 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% +$5
sports 18% −$13
other 11% +$4
world 6% −$29
politics 2% −$15
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $13 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Omega Esports vs TNC Pro Team (BO3) - MPL Ph BUY TNC Pro Team 69¢ $1 76d
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes SELL Illinois Fighting Illini 73¢ $1 76d
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes BUY Illinois Fighting Illini 74¢ $1 76d
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig? SELL No 11¢ $1 76d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $10 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -1.6% -10.9% 56% 56% +29.9%
≤30d 9 -1.6% -10.9% 56% 56% +29.9%
≤90d 35 -34.6% -40.8% 26% 26% -26.2%
all 123 -17.6% -25.4% 37% 35% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.4% 35% -14.0%
10% -32.6% 32% -22.2%
15% -39.1% 30% -29.7%
20% -45.0% 21% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 259 history records