trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 16 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 01 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 13 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 05 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 19 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Apr 15 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | Apr 12 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $228 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 26 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 16 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Mar 13 | $115 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 06 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Mar 04 | $116 | $0 | -0% |