Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:01:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7D 0x7d90…a663 other 464 markets active 1h ago coverage 74d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$156 (-26%) realized −$156 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -30% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate4%19W / 445L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day17.1pace
Kalshi-fit30%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days−$26
14 days−$28
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 65% −$55
crypto 35% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 -5.3% -14.3% 6% 6% -35.4%
≤30d 333 -9.3% -17.9% 5% 5% -45.3%
≤90d 464 -30.3% -37.0% 4% 4% -57.5%
all 464 -30.3% -37.0% 4% 4% -57.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.0% 4% -57.5%
10% -43.0% 4% -61.5%
15% -48.5% 4% -65.3%
20% -53.6% 4% -68.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -27% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -30% · $-wt -27% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -64% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$1 · ×16.86 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

74d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$156
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses19 / 445
Open positions0
Markets (closed)464 / 464
History coverage74d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day17.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit30%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 464 Trades
no open positions (343 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$20 +958%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$26 +996%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $0 +$1 +900%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$101 +4556%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 7h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1384 history records