Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:32:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d87…47ee
crypto · 1751 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1643 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1751 / 1751
History coverage40d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day44.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1751 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$471
7 days−$117
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 805 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 23% -11.4%
≤30d 1450 -0.4% -9.8% 93% 23% -9.8%
≤90d 1751 -0.1% -9.6% 94% 19% -9.6%
all 1751 -0.1% -9.6% 94% 19% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 19% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 7% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records