Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:40:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d82…b573
crypto · 1480 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$127 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$126
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1145 / 333
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1478 / 1480
History coverage17d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day154.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 1478 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$78
14 days−$123
30 days−$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 52¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+150%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 16¢ $11 $3 −$8 (-71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9? No 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$49 +97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 −$38 -75%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$211
other 13% +$70
weather 5% −$11
sports 1% +$27
world 0% +$1
tech 0% −$1
politics 0% −$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $4 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $11 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 63¢ $100 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 10¢ $13 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $51 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 359 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 33% -13.0%
≤30d 1478 -2.3% -11.6% 77% 18% -10.6%
≤90d 1478 -2.3% -11.6% 77% 18% -10.6%
all 1478 -2.3% -11.6% 77% 18% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover154.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 18% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 13% -19.1%
15% -27.8% 10% -26.9%
20% -34.9% 6% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.66 · official $13.66 (match) · 3500 history records