Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d7c…a521
crypto · 1081 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$74 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses502 / 511
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1013 / 1081
History coverage29d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1013 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$16
14 days+$62
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 16¢ 28¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 -17.1% -25.0% 28% 28% -23.1%
≤30d 1013 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 48% -11.0%
≤90d 1013 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 48% -11.0%
all 1013 -3.5% -12.7% 50% 48% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 48% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 46% -19.5%
15% -28.7% 41% -27.3%
20% -35.7% 34% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.65 · official $0.63 · 1582 history records