Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d72…ad82
world · 44 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses12 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage472d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 13 $48 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 13 $48 −$1 -1%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $134 +$2 +1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $43 $0 -1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 08 $17 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $52 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $42 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $12 $0 +2%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 06 $57 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 03 $44 −$1 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 03 $43 $0 +0%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? Nov 26 $6 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? Aug 10 $5 $0 +4%
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherla Jul 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? Jul 24 $6 $0 -1%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jul 24 $5 $0 -0%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Jul 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? Jul 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year? Jul 07 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? Jul 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 05 $5 $0 -0%
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jul 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 03 $1 $0 +6%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? Jul 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? Jul 02 $5 $0 -1%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? Jul 01 $5 $0 -0%
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%? Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? May 18 $6 $0 -7%
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? May 16 $14 −$5 -37%
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? Mar 27 $14 $0 -1%
Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? Mar 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? Mar 22 $14 $0 +1%
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? Mar 20 $14 $0 +0%
Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Mar 20 $14 +$2 +11%
Will Donald Trump say NATO 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27 $16 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 68% $0
other 13% −$3
politics 6% −$3
sports 4% −$4
crypto 4% $0
tech 1% $0
culture 1% $0
finance 1% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $23 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $20 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $5 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $48 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 84¢ $44 6h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 85¢ $44 8h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 95¢ $49 10h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $49 11h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 17¢ $4 19h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 17¢ $2 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 17¢ $2 22h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 95¢ $44 27h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 93¢ $43 30h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 91¢ $30 31h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 91¢ $14 31h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 89¢ $43 35h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 93¢ $43 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 94¢ $7 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 94¢ $37 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 22¢ $17 5d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 22¢ $17 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $21 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $22 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $42 6d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 6d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 6d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +0.1% -9.4% 22% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 11 -0.1% -9.6% 18% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 11 -0.1% -9.6% 18% 0% -9.5%
all 44 -5.1% -14.1% 27% 2% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 2% -10.6%
10% -22.3% 0% -19.2%
15% -29.8% 0% -27.0%
20% -36.7% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 126 history records