Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d6f…d20f
crypto · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$217 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses269 / 304
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)573 / 573
History coverage70d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$15
14 days−$47
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$3 +275%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$175
sports 41% −$50
politics 1% +$12
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 59m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -11.8% -20.2% 54% 44% -20.6%
≤30d 466 -13.2% -21.5% 48% 40% -21.8%
≤90d 573 -10.3% -18.9% 47% 40% -17.9%
all 573 -10.3% -18.9% 47% 40% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 40% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 31% -25.7%
15% -33.7% 25% -32.9%
20% -40.2% 21% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1771 history records