Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:17:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d6c…8570
crypto · 602 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$5 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses508 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)602 / 602
History coverage51d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 602 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$6
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +2.5% -7.3% 94% 21% -9.1%
≤30d 324 +1.7% -8.0% 90% 37% -8.0%
≤90d 602 -0.4% -9.9% 84% 50% -9.4%
all 602 -0.4% -9.9% 84% 50% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 50% -9.4%
10% -18.5% 18% -18.0%
15% -26.4% 6% -26.0%
20% -33.6% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1150 history records