Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d66…d6fb
crypto · 1691 markets active 0h ago
6.0score
+$2,121 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,145 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$2,145
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses850 / 507
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1357 / 1691
History coverage59d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day40.8
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,466
7 days+$2,661
14 days+$2,631
30 days+$2,581
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 55¢ 50¢ $22 $20 −$2 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$22 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$20 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$23 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$18 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$23 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$19 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$23 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$20 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$23 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$19 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$23 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$22 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$20 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$23 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$22 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$23 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$16 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$16 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $23 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $22 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $22 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $23 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1301 +22.9% +11.2% 63% 63% +11.8%
≤30d 1328 +22.4% +10.8% 63% 62% +8.3%
≤90d 1357 +21.8% +10.2% 63% 61% +2.4%
all 1357 +21.8% +10.2% 63% 61% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.2% 61% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -0.4% 61% -7.4%
15% -10.0% 61% -16.3%
20% -18.8% 60% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.64 · official $48.73 · 3246 history records