Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d5b…edc4
crypto · 1623 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$81 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1214 / 408
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1622 / 1623
History coverage54d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1622 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$16
14 days−$29
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 77¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 626 +10.3% -0.2% 84% 61% -10.3%
≤30d 957 +4.3% -5.6% 77% 62% -11.3%
≤90d 1622 +0.7% -8.9% 75% 66% -11.4%
all 1622 +0.7% -8.9% 75% 66% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 66% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 54% -19.8%
15% -25.6% 29% -27.6%
20% -32.9% 11% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.06 · official $0.92 (match) · 3442 history records