trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 25% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 28 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 39% | 7% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 7% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 4% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | $32 | $33 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 24 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $66 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Dec 14 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -92% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025? | Jun 11 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jun 10 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13? | Jun 09 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 23 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trum | Apr 21 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Apr 20 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 19 | $13 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| 2025 March hottest on record? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28? | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -74% |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | -1% |