trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 100% | 0% | -7.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 56% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 56% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 41% | 11% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 11% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 4% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 4% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 4% | -32.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 03 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 03 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 12 | $22 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 26 | $3 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 26 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 25 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Buccaneers vs. Rams | Nov 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 24 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 24 | $26 | +$18 | +69% |
| Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? | Nov 21 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 20 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 19 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 19 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 14 | $24 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 02 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 29 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | Sep 29 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | +0% |