trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 18 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 2? | May 31 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 28? | May 26 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 24? | May 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on April 8? | Apr 07 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in March? | Apr 01 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 01 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Mar 31 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Mar 22 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 8? | Mar 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on March 1? | Mar 02 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15? | Feb 23 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App S | Feb 23 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | Feb 23 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Jan 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026? | Jan 21 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jan 01 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 01 | $128 | $0 | +0% |