Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:45:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d30…cdbe
crypto · 1620 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3,033 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,033 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,033
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses512 / 719
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1231 / 1620
History coverage25d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day115.4
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,243
7 days−$3,152
14 days+$671
30 days+$3,033
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,623
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 446 -46.8% -51.9% 21% 21% -43.5%
≤30d 1231 +10.9% +0.3% 42% 41% +2.0%
≤90d 1231 +10.9% +0.3% 42% 41% +2.0%
all 1231 +10.9% +0.3% 42% 41% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.3% 41% +2.0%
10% ← realistic here -9.3% 40% -7.7%
15% -18.0% 39% -16.7%
20% -26.1% 37% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records