trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | +203.9% | +175.0% | 100% | 100% | +109.3% |
| all | 23 | +17.8% | +6.6% | 70% | 43% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.6% | 43% | -3.4% |
| 10% | -3.6% | 43% | -12.6% |
| 15% | -12.9% | 35% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -21.5% | 22% | -28.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 67¢ | 64¢ | $335 | $322 | −$12 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $426 | +$2,174 | +510% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $866 | +$634 | +73% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $1,085 | +$315 | +29% |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25? | Mar 21 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Mar 21 | $345 | −$345 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 21 | $399 | −$399 | -100% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Mar 21 | $366 | −$366 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Mar 21 | $890 | −$890 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Pistons | Mar 21 | $759 | −$759 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Mar 21 | $322 | −$322 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Feb 11 | $936 | +$364 | +39% |
| Nuggets vs. Wizards | Jan 23 | $612 | +$288 | +47% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 06 | $674 | +$26 | +4% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 14 | $186 | +$314 | +169% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $281 | +$119 | +42% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 31 | $289 | +$11 | +4% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Jun 02 | $1,200 | +$1,200 | +100% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 12 | $223 | +$77 | +34% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Apr 02 | $192 | +$108 | +56% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025? | Mar 01 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Jan 06 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 05 | $1,007 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 01 | $26,132 | +$12 | +0% |