Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:36:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d25…f2d3
crypto · 397 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
+$1,695 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$214 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized+$214
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses190 / 202
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions5
Markets (closed)392 / 397
History coverage234d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$55
14 days−$503
30 days−$508
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Up 50¢ 46¢ $100 $91 −$9 (-9%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Up 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$13 +250%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $304 +$22 +7%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$68 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$41 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$72 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $11 +$9 +83%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $52 +$18 +35%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$13 +66%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $24 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$20 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $61 +$49 +80%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$9 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$14 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 08 $51 −$49 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +70%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $40 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $81 +$81 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$1,151
sports 5% −$928
other 0% −$15
finance 0% $0
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 50¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 50¢ $45 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 25h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 25h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 50¢ $52 25h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 46h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 46h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 46h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 46h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $10 46h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 84¢ $20 46h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $20 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 56¢ $327 47h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 49¢ $304 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $158 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -20.5% -28.1% 44% 41% -12.6%
≤30d 144 +3.4% -6.5% 53% 49% -18.8%
≤90d 256 +1.9% -7.8% 50% 46% -11.6%
all 392 +14.4% +3.5% 48% 45% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.5% 45% -11.1%
10% -6.4% 38% -19.6%
15% -15.5% 30% -27.4%
20% -23.7% 24% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.18 · official $94.18 (match) · 2906 history records