trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 56¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $21 | $0 | −$21 (-100%) |
| Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $21 | $0 | −$21 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 66¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - | Jun 13 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl | Jun 12 | $30 | +$7 | +23% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) | Jun 12 | $20 | +$11 | +53% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $24 | +$40 | +162% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $13 | +$6 | +43% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$11 | +110% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $23 | +$4 | +17% |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 09 | $22 | −$21 | -97% |
| Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $10 | +$13 | +126% |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $21 | −$21 | -99% |
| Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $16 | +$6 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Jun 09 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Jun 09 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 46% | -3.4% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 46% | -3.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 46% | -3.4% |
| all | 26 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 46% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.7% | 46% | -3.4% |
| 10% | -31.9% | 38% | -12.6% |
| 15% | -38.5% | 31% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -44.5% | 19% | -28.8% |