Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:39:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d03…db5e
crypto · 649 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$324 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$324 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$324
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses312 / 337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)649 / 649
History coverage17d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day67.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 649 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$259
14 days−$332
30 days−$324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +123%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +157%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$340
other 0% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 638 -0.7% -10.1% 48% 47% -13.6%
≤30d 649 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 47% -14.5%
≤90d 649 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 47% -14.5%
all 649 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 47% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 47% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 41% -22.7%
15% -27.2% 34% -30.1%
20% -34.3% 26% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1926 history records