Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cf5…ad84
sports · 21 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$151 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$144 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$112
Realized−$144
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses12 / 4
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)16 / 21
History coverage2d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 5 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$146
7 days−$144
14 days−$144
30 days−$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? No 96¢ 86¢ $37 $33 −$4 (-11%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? No 96¢ 94¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 84¢ $26 $24 −$2 (-7%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 95¢ 94¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Under 89¢ 88¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Under 94¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Iowa Stormboar 88¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $56 +$4 +7%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $49 +$5 +9%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? Jun 13 $47 $0 +1%
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $37 +$4 +11%
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 13 $37 $0 +1%
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl Jun 13 $29 +$2 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $55 +$4 +7%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $37 −$5 -13%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $55 +$3 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$153
other 13% $0
tech 7% $0
crypto 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $5 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? BUY No 96¢ $7 1h
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 95¢ $8 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $10 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 BUY No 96¢ $14 1h
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 99¢ $59 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $5 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 96¢ $7 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $7 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 BUY No 96¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 90¢ $40 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $4 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $4 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? BUY No 96¢ $5 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $4 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $4 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? BUY No 96¢ $9 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $7 2h
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $15 2h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 99¢ $54 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 3h
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $5 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $5 4h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -15.0% -23.1% 75% 6% -28.0%
≤30d 16 -15.0% -23.1% 75% 6% -28.0%
≤90d 16 -15.0% -23.1% 75% 6% -28.0%
all 16 -15.0% -23.1% 75% 6% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.1% 6% -28.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.5% 0% -34.9%
15% -37.2% 0% -41.2%
20% -43.3% 0% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $111.63 · official $113.18 · 102 history records