Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7ce9…b516
crypto · 1489 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$10,330 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,330 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,330
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses645 / 596
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1241 / 1489
History coverage26d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day114.6
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,101
7 days−$4,691
14 days−$3,780
30 days+$10,330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $400 −$400 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $375 −$375 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$5 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$9 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $423 −$423 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $227 −$227 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,520
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 -1.5% -10.9% 51% 45% -29.9%
≤30d 1241 +9.5% -0.9% 52% 48% -2.4%
≤90d 1241 +9.5% -0.9% 52% 48% -2.4%
all 1241 +9.5% -0.9% 52% 48% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 48% -2.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.4% 43% -11.8%
15% -19.1% 38% -20.3%
20% -27.0% 32% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records