trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 33% | 0% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +16.9% | +5.8% | 62% | 12% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +16.9% | +5.8% | 62% | 12% | -9.9% |
| all | 23 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 61% | 9% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.3% | 9% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 9% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 4% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -29.5% | 4% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | No | 87¢ | 87¢ | $97 | $97 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $39 | −$15 | -37% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $275 | +$2 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $220 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $59 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $17 | +$6 | +34% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $86 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 09 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $95 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 05 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on June 17? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $2 | −$1 | -47% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 20 | $118 | $0 | -0% |