Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7ce6…4fd1
crypto · 111 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses101 / 8
Open positions2
Markets (closed)109 / 111
History coverage65d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 94¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 91¢ 71¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 +1.2% -8.5% 97% 2% -8.5%
≤30d 104 +1.2% -8.5% 97% 2% -8.5%
≤90d 109 -0.1% -9.6% 93% 2% -9.4%
all 109 -0.1% -9.6% 93% 2% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 2% -9.4%
10% -18.2% 1% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.71 · official $6.12 · 234 history records