trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 43% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 43% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 31 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 42% | 3% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 3% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 3% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 3% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 3% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $38 | $38 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 18 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $46 | −$3 | -6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $39 | +$3 | +8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 24 | $31 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 23 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15 | Jun 27 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August | Jun 11 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Starmer out before July? | Jun 10 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $180 on June 6? | Jun 08 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 07 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting? | Jun 05 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 04 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the elec | Jun 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez be the top Champions League scorer? | Jun 01 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| 2025 March hottest on record? | Apr 08 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Apr 06 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 04 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 30-40% on the EU by June 30? | Apr 04 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 01 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Mar 31 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Mar 31 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 26 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 23 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| UTEP vs. Kennesaw State | Mar 20 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |