Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:06:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7cd2…1a01 crypto 328 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (143 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,916 (-6%) realized −$1,916 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -57% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -67% what you keep after slip
Net edge-67%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate29%227W / 561L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$90per market
Trades / day143.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$623
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (143 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-61.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 616 -72.1% -74.8% 20% 1% -34.3%
≤30d 788 -56.9% -61.0% 29% 4% -23.9%
≤90d 788 -56.9% -61.0% 29% 4% -23.9%
all 788 -56.9% -61.0% 29% 4% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover143.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -61.0% 4% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -64.8% 3% -31.1%
15% -68.2% 1% -37.8%
20% -71.3% 1% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -57% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$13 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.25 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized−$1,916
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses227 / 561
Open positions0
Markets (closed)788 / 328
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$90
Trades / day143.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 788 Trades
no open positions (472 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -142%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $32 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $28 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $78 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $77 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $121 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $59 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.97 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records