Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cc8…a9d7
crypto · 307 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,196 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,196 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,196
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses283 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)307 / 307
History coverage5d
Avg bet$299
Trades / day649.0
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days+$1,196
14 days+$1,196
30 days+$1,196
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $339 $0 −$339 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $448 $0 −$448 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $345 $0 −$345 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $240 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $258 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $294 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $182 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $269 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $251 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $233 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $273 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $248 +$16 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $275 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$93 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $151 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $268 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $301 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $273 −$41 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $162 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $263 +$13 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$100 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $260 +$86 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $210 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $183 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $141 −$33 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $234 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $503 +$7 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 307 +2.8% -7.0% 92% 9% -8.3%
≤30d 307 +2.8% -7.0% 92% 9% -8.3%
≤90d 307 +2.8% -7.0% 92% 9% -8.3%
all 307 +2.8% -7.0% 92% 9% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover649.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 9% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 6% -17.1%
15% -24.0% 2% -25.1%
20% -31.5% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records