Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:56:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
7C 0x7cc2…ba73 crypto 766 markets active 2d ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$371 (-5%) realized −$371 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate67%514W / 252L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day55.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$181
14 days−$254
30 days−$402
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$318
other 2% +$3
politics 1% −$17
world 1% −$78
tech 1% +$3
culture 1% +$2
sports 0% +$1
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 -23.3% -30.6% 9% 9% -25.7%
≤30d 766 -7.2% -16.1% 67% 12% -14.4%
≤90d 766 -7.2% -16.1% 67% 12% -14.4%
all 766 -7.2% -16.1% 67% 12% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 12% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 6% -22.6%
15% -31.4% 5% -30.1%
20% -38.2% 4% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$371
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses514 / 252
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)766 / 766
History coverage22d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day55.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 766 Trades
no open positions (217 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$40 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$36 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1763 history records