Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cad…1287
crypto · 265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$97 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$88
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses140 / 123
Open positions2
Markets (closed)263 / 265
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day87.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$88
14 days−$88
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 64¢ 70¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$35 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -11.2% -19.7% 53% 53% -15.1%
≤30d 263 -11.2% -19.7% 53% 53% -15.1%
≤90d 263 -11.2% -19.7% 53% 53% -15.1%
all 263 -11.2% -19.7% 53% 53% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 53% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 49% -23.2%
15% -34.4% 44% -30.7%
20% -40.8% 34% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.13 · official $11.13 (match) · 532 history records