Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:40:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7ca6…9da8
crypto · 1910 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,584 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,573 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$2,573
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1571 / 498
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2069 / 1910
History coverage16d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day122.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2069 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,115
7 days−$2,851
14 days−$2,526
30 days−$2,573
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $20 $27 +$7 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 70¢ 18¢ $15 $4 −$11 (-74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$620
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $15 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $15 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 837 -24.6% -31.7% 60% 45% -31.9%
≤30d 2069 -7.5% -16.3% 76% 44% -18.6%
≤90d 2069 -7.5% -16.3% 76% 44% -18.6%
all 2069 -7.5% -16.3% 76% 44% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 44% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 24% -26.4%
15% -31.6% 13% -33.5%
20% -38.3% 7% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.33 · official $41.98 · 3500 history records