Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:49:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c9f…f9b4
sports · 288 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$217 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$215 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$215
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses138 / 140
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions10
Markets (closed)278 / 288
History coverage30d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 278 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$117
14 days−$215
30 days−$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+15%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 71¢ 68¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner K27 48¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 44¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner KOLESIE 42¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 41¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs 1WIN 40¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Infinite 35¢ 35¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Festina Lente 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Elina Svitolina 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 13 $2 +$4 +167%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +89%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $3 +$2 +89%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +160%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 +$4 +191%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 +$2 +61%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$2 +47%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $16 −$6 -36%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +95%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $36 +$39 +109%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $4 +$6 +147%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $3 +$2 +85%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $16 +$5 +30%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Play Jun 08 $13 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$216
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser BUY Infinite 35¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 42¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY 1WIN 40¢ $2 5h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) SELL FURIA 100¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 21¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 19¢ $1 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 7h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) SELL Bebop 100¢ $5 7h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 44¢ $2 8h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 100¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY K27 48¢ $3 11h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) BUY Bebop 64¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL RUSTEC 100¢ $5 11h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) BUY FURIA 36¢ $2 13h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $3 14h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $2 14h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 51¢ $3 14h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $5 14h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group SELL Washed 100¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Washed 89¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 100¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 27¢ $1 25h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY G2 35¢ $2 25h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 67¢ $4 25h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 51¢ $3 26h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 55¢ $3 26h
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Club 333 55¢ $3 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -21.7% -29.1% 42% 39% -22.8%
≤30d 278 -3.9% -13.1% 50% 47% -18.6%
≤90d 278 -3.9% -13.1% 50% 47% -18.6%
all 278 -3.9% -13.1% 50% 47% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 47% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 45% -26.4%
15% -29.0% 41% -33.5%
20% -35.9% 34% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.40 · official $25.40 (match) · 994 history records