Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c97…4df3
crypto · 410 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$415 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$389 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$389
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses279 / 129
Open positions2
Markets (closed)408 / 410
History coverage485d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 408 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 41¢ 40¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 28 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12PM ET Apr 27 $34 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 27 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Apr 27 $10 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$404
sports 14% $0
other 3% −$10
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -10.0% -18.5% 60% 44% -14.6%
≤30d 43 -10.0% -18.5% 60% 44% -14.6%
≤90d 61 -15.0% -23.1% 62% 39% -17.8%
all 408 -2.9% -12.1% 68% 52% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 52% -16.4%
10% -20.5% 39% -24.4%
15% -28.2% 27% -31.7%
20% -35.2% 19% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.05 · official $17.61 · 1185 history records