Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T23:29:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c93…91f2 crypto 59 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$11 (-18%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate32%19W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day31.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -24.8% -31.9% 32% 32% -29.6%
≤30d 59 -24.8% -31.9% 32% 32% -29.6%
≤90d 59 -24.8% -31.9% 32% 32% -29.6%
all 59 -24.8% -31.9% 32% 32% -29.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.9% 32% -29.6%
10% ← realistic here -38.5% 32% -36.3%
15% -44.4% 32% -42.4%
20% -49.8% 32% -48.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.41 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses19 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day31.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 59 Trades
no open positions (40 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +369%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +132%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records